Spain’s regulated natural gas price, known as the Tarifa de Último Recurso (TUR), is projected to increase by more than 50% from 1 October to 31 December if the government does not intervene.
The quarterly review of the TUR uses an official formula that incorporates recent spikes in international energy prices, especially Brent crude. The calculation suggests a rise of around 54% according to the consumer association OCU, while industry groups estimate a slightly lower but still above‑50% increase.
The higher rate will affect more than three million households, roughly 40% of Spain’s eight‑million gas customers, who are currently on the regulated tariff.
Key factors behind the surge
The formula reflects the sharp climb in global energy costs over the past months. Brent prices have more than doubled, pushing wholesale gas costs upward and triggering the tariff adjustment.
Potential government response
Authorities have not announced any measures to curb the increase. If no policy action is taken, the final tariff figure will be published on the last day of October, confirming the anticipated jump.
Consumers and industry observers will watch for any emergency subsidies or regulatory changes that could mitigate the impact before the new rates take effect.